Scandal raises doubts about Abe’s ability to win a third term

Author: Tobias Harris

Categories: Japan Political Pulse

As recently as last month it appeared that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was cruising to an easy victory in the Liberal Democratic Party’s (LDP) September leadership election, which would give him a third three-year term and position him to set the record as Japan’s longest-tenured postwar prime minister. Over the past two weeks, however, the reemergence of a scandal regarding the discounted sale of public land to Moritomo Gakuen, a private school with links to the prime minister and the first lady, has raised doubts about Abe’s ability to win a third term–or even to survive until the end of his current term.

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New opposition parties still lagging behind the LDP—but many voters undecided

Author: Tobias Harris

Categories: Japan Political Pulse

With four days until the campaign for Japan’s October 22 general election officially begins, the outlook for the vote is still extremely fluid. Polls show significant numbers of undecided voters, but also suggest that Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike’s newly formed Party of Hope is struggling to connect with independent voters.

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Japan Political Pulse data used in Vox article

Categories: In the News

Sasakawa USA’s Japan Political Pulse, a project by Fellow for Economy, Trade and Business Tobias Harris that aggregates major opinion polls conducted by Japanese media outlets, was utilized in a September 28 article on Vox about the stakes of the upcoming October 22 snap election recently called by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

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Abe’s comeback and the outlook for a general election

Author: Tobias Harris

Categories: Japan Political Pulse

Given Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s current status — recovering approval ratings, high marks for his handling of a serious foreign policy crisis, with an established opposition party in seemingly terminal decline, and a new opposition party scrambling to prepare for an election — the political logic of a snap election is indisputable. This analysis takes an in-depth look at public opinion polls on Abe and what they reveal about the coming election.

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