Tobias Harris

Fellow for Economy, Trade, and Business

Mr. Tobias Harris, Teneo Intelligence

Tobias Harris is the Fellow for Economy, Trade, and Business at Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA. He is also an analyst of Japanese politics and economics at Teneo Intelligence, a political risk advisory firm.

Harris has written about Japanese politics for publications including the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and Foreign Affairs and regularly provides on-air analysis for CNBC, Bloomberg, and other networks. In 2006-2007, Harris worked on the staff of Keiichiro Asao, at that time a member of the upper house of the Japanese Diet and shadow foreign minister for the Democratic Party of Japan, for whom he conducted research on foreign policy and Japan’s relations with the United States.

He earned an MPhil in International Relations from the University of Cambridge and a bachelor’s degree in Politics and History from Brandeis University. Harris has also conducted graduate research at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and, from 2011-2012, at the Institute for Social Science at the University of Tokyo as a Fulbright scholar.

Expertise:

Japanese politics; Japanese political economy; US-Japan economic relations; Japanese public administration; Abenomics

Projects:

Japan Political Pulse

This opinion poll aggregator developed by Tobias Harris provides an unprecedented look at public approval ratings of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his cabinet. JPP aggregates major polls to arrive at a more balanced representation of public opinion.

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Publications

Abe avoids the FTA trap at Mar-a-Lago, but U.S. pressure on Japan likely to mount

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s meetings with U.S. President Donald Trump on April 18 and 19 were unusually unpredictable for a summit between the leaders of the longtime allies, which are usually carefully choreographed with little left to chance. Much of the uncertainty was due to the Trump administration’s determination to reduce its bilateral trade deficits with major trading partners.

Understanding Abenomics: The Intellectual Origins of Abenomics

This paper is the first section in a series called “Understanding Abenomics,” which will explore the intellectual and institutional drivers of Abenomics; what the Abe government has achieved in monetary, fiscal, and industrial and microeconomic policy; and the debates surrounding what Abenomics has achieved and what economic policy will look like after Abenomics.

The Bright Side of Japan’s Bleak Election

“On paper,” writes Fellow for Economy, Trade, and Business Tobias Harris in an October 25 op-ed for New Republic, “it looks like Japan’s October 22 general election was more of the same.” Despite the successes of the October 22 election for the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito, says Harris, this election may be a turning point for Japan.

Giving Up Hope: How Yuriko Koike Lost Japan’s Snap Election

“Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike upstaged Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe by announcing that she would lead her newly created Party of Hope in the snap election that Abe announced later that same day,” wrote Sasakawa USA’s Tobias Harris in an opinion piece published by Foreign Affairs. Nonetheless, he continues, the Party of Hope eventually fizzled.

Shinzo Abe’s greatest gamble

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has repeatedly shown a willingness to take calculated risks to advance his goals. Now he is preparing to run his greatest risk yet — a snap election scheduled for Oct. 22 — that Abe is calling not from a position of strength, but his opponents’ position of weakness,

 

Publications

Abe avoids the FTA trap at Mar-a-Lago, but U.S. pressure on Japan likely to mount

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s meetings with U.S. President Donald Trump on April 18 and 19 were unusually unpredictable for a summit between the leaders of the longtime allies, which are usually carefully choreographed with little left to chance. Much of the uncertainty was due to the Trump administration’s determination to reduce its bilateral trade deficits with major trading partners.

Understanding Abenomics: The Intellectual Origins of Abenomics

This paper is the first section in a series called “Understanding Abenomics,” which will explore the intellectual and institutional drivers of Abenomics; what the Abe government has achieved in monetary, fiscal, and industrial and microeconomic policy; and the debates surrounding what Abenomics has achieved and what economic policy will look like after Abenomics.

The Bright Side of Japan’s Bleak Election

“On paper,” writes Fellow for Economy, Trade, and Business Tobias Harris in an October 25 op-ed for New Republic, “it looks like Japan’s October 22 general election was more of the same.” Despite the successes of the October 22 election for the Liberal Democratic Party and Komeito, says Harris, this election may be a turning point for Japan.

Giving Up Hope: How Yuriko Koike Lost Japan’s Snap Election

“Tokyo Governor Yuriko Koike upstaged Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe by announcing that she would lead her newly created Party of Hope in the snap election that Abe announced later that same day,” wrote Sasakawa USA’s Tobias Harris in an opinion piece published by Foreign Affairs. Nonetheless, he continues, the Party of Hope eventually fizzled.

Shinzo Abe’s greatest gamble

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has repeatedly shown a willingness to take calculated risks to advance his goals. Now he is preparing to run his greatest risk yet — a snap election scheduled for Oct. 22 — that Abe is calling not from a position of strength, but his opponents’ position of weakness,